The Geography of Discontent: Populism and Voting in Turkey

Abridged English translation of a column by Prof. Dr. Mehmet Karaçuka, originally published in Seferihisar Yeni Haber on 19 December 2024 as “Ekonomi Politik – Popülizm: Türkiye’de Hoşnutsuzluk Coğrafyası.” Figures and judgments refer to the original publication period.

The ‘geography of discontent’ offers a framework for understanding the geographic clustering of electoral preferences in Turkey. Since 2002, support for governing and opposition parties has displayed notable regional patterns, reflecting deeper economic, social and cultural divisions.

Turkey underwent rapid urbanization alongside industrialization, but prosperity did not spread evenly across the country. Some regions experienced expanding industries and higher incomes, while others remained more dependent on agriculture and traditional economic relationships. These differences contributed to distinct social experiences and political preferences.

The geography of discontent refers to the unequal distribution of economic opportunities, public services and political influence across places. As traditional industries decline or investment bypasses particular areas, residents may feel that they have been left behind. Such experiences can strengthen polarization and support for anti-establishment political movements.

Regional culture and identity also matter. The original column associated the strength of different political parties in Central Anatolia, the western coastal provinces, and eastern and southeastern Turkey with their differing social structures and historical experiences.

The broader argument is that voting cannot be understood solely through national averages: uneven development, local institutions, identity and perceived exclusion shape political behavior.

Original Turkish article: Ekonomi Politik – Popülizm: Türkiye’de Hoşnutsuzluk Coğrafyası — Seferihisar Yeni Haber, 19 December 2024.